QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH · TRADING · MODEL VALIDATION

I turn market questions into testable, auditable research.

I build and test market models in Python, with explicit controls for bias, leakage, transaction costs, and out-of-sample performance.

forecast.py · validated

# leakage-aware time-series evaluation
train, test = chronological_split(data)
train = purge_boundary(train, horizon=21)

# identical held-out dates
rmse(har, target)   9.08%
rmse(ewma, target)  9.30%
rmse(random_walk)  10.28%
STATUS15 / 15 integrity checks passing
9.08%purged HAR RMSE
15 / 15integrity tests passing
2007–2016four-equity sample
2.34%HAR improvement vs EWMA
01 / FLAGSHIP RESEARCH

PYTHON · PANDAS · NUMPY · TIME SERIES · SUPERVISED LEARNING

Equity Volatility Research Pipeline

An end-to-end investigation that moved from return construction and strategy backtesting to volatility diagnostics and leakage-aware forecasting.

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OUT-OF-SAMPLE RESULT

HAR remained strongest after purged validation.

Purging 21 boundary observations raised HAR RMSE from 9.03% to 9.08%. The lower unpurged figure is preserved as a diagnostic; the corrected result is the headline.

1,563 training21 purged679 test
Bar chart comparing purged HAR, EWMA, and random-walk forecast RMSE
LOOK-AHEAD CONTROL193.11% → 27.93%

Lagging the trading position by one day removed information that was unavailable at execution time.

ROBUSTNESS0 of 4

The net SMA strategy beat buy-and-hold on none of the four equities tested—an informative null result.

TARGET DESIGNRanking reversed

Changing only the evaluation target reversed the apparent forecast ranking and exposed a misleading overlap.

02 / PROFESSIONAL QUANTITATIVE & MARKETS EXPERIENCE

Model monitoring and financial systems backed by auditable controls.

My current work spans HAR volatility-model monitoring across 512 forecast origins, Python/pytest validation of multi-currency FX settlement, compliance-risk testing, and commodity-pricing and financial-data analysis across a $4.91 million portfolio.

Explore professional experience
512forecast origins monitored
96 / 96gold-standard rubric score
6 / 6FX scenarios matched
$4.91Mfinancial portfolio analyzed
03 / SELECTED WORK

Quantitative research, trading systems, and production evidence.

The flagship market study is supported by work in trade controls, data validation, software engineering, and peer-reviewed research.

Oluwaferanmi Omidiran in a dark suit and tie

ABOUT THE RESEARCHER

Engineering, quantitative economics, and research judgment.

Rutgers graduate with a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering, a minor in Quantitative Economics, a 3.84 GPA, and Summa Cum Laude honors. I combine first-principles modeling, causal-inference research, production data controls, and hands-on Python research.

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QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH · TRADING · DEVELOPMENT

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